The rise in employers’ National Insurance Contributions (NICs) unveiled in the Budget is undoubtedly a blow to some businesses and, indirectly, to employees.
Combined with the increases in the National Minimum Wage and potential costs associated with recent reforms in employment law, this raft of new measures will stretch employer wage budgets.
And that will potentially lead to slower growth in some employee wages or higher costs for consumers. It may also have an effect on business growth plans.
Businesses need to be aware of any impact these changes will have. Now is the time to take another look at your forecasts and assess what the new rates will mean to your projected figures – both in the short and longer term.
It is also good time to revisit business plans and see what effect the increased overheads may have. Open discussions are needed to find the best ways of managing any increased costs. As always, cashflow will be a vital part of all those discussions.
The chancellor said the rise in National Insurance hike was “difficult”, but the right choice in order to fund public services.
From April 6, 2025 the employers’ NICs rate will rise from 13.8 per cent to 15 per cent.
Added to that is a significant reduction in the threshold at which businesses start paying NI on a workers’ earnings – from £9,100 to £5,000.
The chancellor also announced a widening of availability and an increase in the amount of the ‘employment allowance’, which eligible employers can offset against their employers’ Class 1 NICs liability, from £5,000 to £10,500.
The employment allowance has only been available to businesses who have incurred an employers’ Class 1 NICs liability of less than £100,000 in the previous tax year but that restriction will be removed for 2025/26.
The announcement has not gone down well. Some of Britain’s biggest retailers have warned the chancellor her Budget will stoke inflation in the economy and spark job losses saying that tax hikes add nearly £2.5bn to the industry’s annual tax bill.
Sky News obtained the draft of a letter coordinated by the British Retail Consortium (BRC) to Rachel Reeves in which it produces a stark analysis of the impact of her statement.
It said: “The sheer scale of new costs in the Autumn Budget and the speed with which they occur, together with costs from a raft of other regulation, create a cumulative burden that will make job losses inevitable, and higher prices a certainty.”
The BRC’s members consist of the major supermarkets, including Asda and Tesco, as well as hundreds of other well-known chains, including B&Q’s parent, Kingfisher.
The reaction from manufacturers has also been far from positive. Neil Evans, managing director of Burnley manufacturer VEKA, issued a statement which said: “The rise in minimum wage, employer National Insurance rate and threshold reduction are not insignificant for businesses like ours – a large family-owned business, and key employers in the region. The NI decision alone takes around £500,000 from our bottom line.”
He added: “It raises questions as to how this will be managed and what impact it will have on the wider supply chain and pricing. Inevitably and sensibly, increases are passed on through price rises for goods and services, ultimately affecting the consumer market and the money in people’s pockets.”
Analysis by UKHospitality has revealed that the employment tax measures will increase the cost of employing a full-time staff member by at least £2,500.
However, Tina McKenzie, policy chair at the Federation of Small Businesses (FSB) pointed out some positives. She said: “Increasing the employment allowance for small businesses by a record amount is a very welcome move and we’re pleased the chancellor has heard us loud and clear.
“More than doubling it, from £5,000 to £10,500, will shield the smallest employers from the jobs tax, therefore is a pro-jobs prioritisation in a tough Budget.
“The decision to protect small businesses from an inflationary hike in business rates – by freezing the small business multiplier – will help small firms with premises across all sectors.
“Meanwhile, extending business rates relief, albeit at a lower level, for small firms in retail, hospitality and leisure will mitigate a potential cliff-edge tax hike for those in some of the toughest sectors.
“The true test of the Budget will be whether small businesses can grow and end the economic stagnation the UK has been stuck in.”
• To discuss any issues raised in this article or any Budget questions please contact me on 01772 430000